气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Carbon co-benefits of tighter SO2 and NOx regulations in China

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.09.003
	Carbon co-benefits of tighter SO2 and NOx regulations in China
	Nam K.-M.; Waugh C.J.; Paltsev S.; Reilly J.M.; Karplus V.J.
发表日期	2013
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	23 期号:6
英文摘要	Air pollution has been recognized as a significant problem in China. In its Twelfth Five Year Plan, China proposes to reduce SO2 and NOx emissions significantly, and here we investigate the cost of achieving those reductions and the implications of doing so for CO2 emissions. We extend the analysis through 2050, and either hold emissions policy targets at the level specified in the Plan, or continue to reduce them gradually. We apply a computable general equilibrium model of the Chinese economy that includes a representation of pollution abatement derived from detailed assessment of abatement technology and costs. We find that China's SO2 and NOx emissions control targets would have substantial effects on CO2 emissions leading to emissions savings far beyond those we estimate would be needed to meet its CO2 intensity targets. However, the cost of achieving and maintaining the pollution targets can be quite high given the growing economy. In fact, we find that the near term pollution targets can be met while still expanding the use of coal, but if they are, then there is a lock-in effect that makes it more costly to maintain or further reduce emissions. That is, if firms were to look ahead to tighter targets, they would make different technology choices in the near term, largely turning away from increased use of coal immediately. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Air pollution; CGE model; China; Cobenefit; Nitrogen oxides; Sulfur dioxide
学科领域	abatement cost; atmospheric pollution; carbon; cost-benefit analysis; economic growth; emission control; nitrogen oxides; numerical model; policy making; sulfur dioxide; China
语种	英语
scopus关键词	abatement cost; atmospheric pollution; carbon; cost-benefit analysis; economic growth; emission control; nitrogen oxides; numerical model; policy making; sulfur dioxide; China
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117879
作者单位	Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States; Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Nam K.-M.,Waugh C.J.,Paltsev S.,et al. Carbon co-benefits of tighter SO2 and NOx regulations in China[J],2013,23(6).
APA	Nam K.-M.,Waugh C.J.,Paltsev S.,Reilly J.M.,&Karplus V.J..(2013).Carbon co-benefits of tighter SO2 and NOx regulations in China.Global Environmental Change,23(6).
MLA	Nam K.-M.,et al."Carbon co-benefits of tighter SO2 and NOx regulations in China".Global Environmental Change 23.6(2013).