气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Economic vulnerability to Peak Oil

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.08.015
	Economic vulnerability to Peak Oil
	Kerschner C.; Prell C.; Feng K.; Hubacek K.
发表日期	2013
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	23 期号:6
英文摘要	Peak Oil, which refers to the maximum possible global oil production rate, is increasingly gaining attention in both science and policy discourses. However, little is known about how this phenomenon will impact economies, despite its apparent imminence and potential dangers. In this paper, we construct a vulnerability map of the U.S. economy, combining two approaches for analyzing economic systems, i.e. input-output analysis and social network analysis (applied to economic data). Our approach reveals the relative importance of individual economic sectors, and how vulnerable they are to oil price shocks. As such, our dual-analysis helps identify which sectors, due to their strategic position, could put the entire U.S. economy at risk from Peak Oil. For the U.S., such sectors would include Iron Mills, Fertilizer Production and Transport by Air. Our findings thus provide early warnings to downstream companies about potential 'trouble' in their supply chain, and inform policy action for Peak Oil. Although our analysis is embedded in a Peak Oil narrative, it is just as valid and useful in the context of developing a climate roadmap toward a low carbon economy. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Forward linkage; Input-output analysis; Outdegree; Peak oil; Price model; Social network analysis
学科领域	economic analysis; input-output analysis; oil production; price dynamics; vulnerability; United States
语种	英语
scopus关键词	economic analysis; input-output analysis; oil production; price dynamics; vulnerability; United States
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117876
作者单位	Institut de Ciència i Tecnologia Ambientals, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Spain; Department of Sociology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, United States; Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kerschner C.,Prell C.,Feng K.,et al. Economic vulnerability to Peak Oil[J],2013,23(6).
APA	Kerschner C.,Prell C.,Feng K.,&Hubacek K..(2013).Economic vulnerability to Peak Oil.Global Environmental Change,23(6).
MLA	Kerschner C.,et al."Economic vulnerability to Peak Oil".Global Environmental Change 23.6(2013).