气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Who remembers a hot summer or a cold winter? The asymmetric effect of beliefs about global warming on perceptions of local climate conditions in the U.S.

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.09.014
	Who remembers a hot summer or a cold winter? The asymmetric effect of beliefs about global warming on perceptions of local climate conditions in the U.S.
	Howe P.D.; Leiserowitz A.
发表日期	2013
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	23 期号:6
英文摘要	This paper explores the phenomenon of local climate perception and the extent to which public perceptions match climate conditions as recorded in instrumental climate data. We further examine whether perceptions of changes in local climates are influenced by prior beliefs about global warming, through the process of motivated reasoning. Using national survey data collected in the United States in 2011, we find that subjective experiences of seasonal average temperature and precipitation during the previous winter and summer were related to recorded conditions during each season. Beliefs about global warming also had significant effects on subjective experiences with above-normal temperatures, particularly among those who believed that global warming is not happening. When asked about the summer of 2010, those who believed that global warming is not happening were significantly less likely to report that they had experienced a warmer-than-normal summer, even when controlling for demographics and local climate conditions. These results suggest that the subjective experience of local climate change is dependent not only on external climate conditions, but also on individual beliefs, with perceptions apparently biased by prior beliefs about global warming. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Climate change; Experience; Global warming; Motivated reasoning; Risk perception; Spatial analysis; Survey research
学科领域	climate change; climate conditions; global warming; perception; precipitation (climatology); summer; survey; temperature effect; winter; United States
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; climate conditions; global warming; perception; precipitation (climatology); summer; survey; temperature effect; winter; United States
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117866
作者单位	Department of Environment and Society, Quinney College of Natural Resources, Utah State University, 5215 Old Main Hill, Logan, UT 84322, United States; School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, 195 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT 06405, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Howe P.D.,Leiserowitz A.. Who remembers a hot summer or a cold winter? The asymmetric effect of beliefs about global warming on perceptions of local climate conditions in the U.S.[J],2013,23(6).
APA	Howe P.D.,&Leiserowitz A..(2013).Who remembers a hot summer or a cold winter? The asymmetric effect of beliefs about global warming on perceptions of local climate conditions in the U.S..Global Environmental Change,23(6).
MLA	Howe P.D.,et al."Who remembers a hot summer or a cold winter? The asymmetric effect of beliefs about global warming on perceptions of local climate conditions in the U.S.".Global Environmental Change 23.6(2013).