气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The economic impact of extreme sea-level rise: Ice sheet vulnerability and the social cost of carbon dioxide

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.08.017
	The economic impact of extreme sea-level rise: Ice sheet vulnerability and the social cost of carbon dioxide
	Pycroft J.; Vergano L.; Hope C.
发表日期	2014
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	24 期号:1
英文摘要	The possibility of extreme sea-level rise is one of the commonly cited reasons for concern about climate change. Major increases in sea level would likely be driven by the melting or collapse of major ice sheets. This possibility has implications for the social cost of carbon dioxide, which is a key policy value as well as a useful summary measure of damage caused by greenhouse gas emissions.This paper extends earlier work on the importance of low-probability, high-impact events for the social cost of carbon dioxide to incorporate the possibility of extreme sea-level rise.To estimate its impact, an integrated assessment model is used, which allows a probabilistic assessment of climate change damages based on the linkages between the economic and climate systems. In the model, the generic discontinuity damage is replaced with the possibility of large-scale damage from factors that are taken to be correlated with temperature rise and, crucially for this paper, explicit consideration of extreme sea-level rise.Estimates of the amount of increase in the social cost of carbon dioxide that can be expected from incorporating extreme sea-level rise show that the increase is significant, though not especially large in percentage terms.The paper contributes to the literature of how to represent uncertain climate impacts in integrated assessment models and the associated estimation of the social cost of carbon dioxide. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Climate change; Integrated assessment models; Sea-level rise; Social cost of carbon dioxide
语种	英语
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117814
作者单位	Economics of Climate Change, Energy and Transport Unit, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Edificio EXPO, C/Inca Garcilaso, 3, 41092 Seville, Spain; Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, Trumpington Street, Cambridge CB2 1AG, United Kingdom; European Training Foundation, Villa Gualino, Viale Settimio, Severo 65, I, 10133 Torino, Italy
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Pycroft J.,Vergano L.,Hope C.. The economic impact of extreme sea-level rise: Ice sheet vulnerability and the social cost of carbon dioxide[J],2014,24(1).
APA	Pycroft J.,Vergano L.,&Hope C..(2014).The economic impact of extreme sea-level rise: Ice sheet vulnerability and the social cost of carbon dioxide.Global Environmental Change,24(1).
MLA	Pycroft J.,et al."The economic impact of extreme sea-level rise: Ice sheet vulnerability and the social cost of carbon dioxide".Global Environmental Change 24.1(2014).