气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate shocks and political violence

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.07.007
	Climate shocks and political violence
	Salehyan I.; Hendrix C.S.
发表日期	2014
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	28 期号:1
英文摘要	The dominant discourse on the security implications of climate change has asserted that acute environmental scarcity-such as that caused by drought-causes political violence. In contrast, we argue that there are good reasons why water scarcity might have a pacifying effect on armed conflict, and that political violence should be more prevalent during periods of comparatively better agro-climatic conditions. Political violence is more prevalent when basic needs are met and when the tactical environment is more conducive to attacks-conditions that hold when water is comparatively abundant. Empirically, this paper explores the relationship between environmental scarcity and political violence in a global sample of countries, 1970-2006. We find that water abundance is positively correlated with political violence, and that this relationship is stronger in less developed, more agriculturally dependent societies. These findings are robust to several different operationalizations of our variables. We conclude with a brief discussion of the policy implications of our findings. © 2014.
英文关键词	Climate change; Conflict; Drought; Environmental security; Political violence
学科领域	climate change; drought; global perspective; historical perspective; political violence; social security; water resource; agricultural policy; empirical analysis; operations technology; policy approach; political conflict; regional security
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; drought; global perspective; historical perspective; political violence; social security; water resource; agricultural policy; empirical analysis; operations technology; policy approach; political conflict; regional security
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117742
作者单位	Department of Political Science, University of North Texas, 1155 Union Circle #305340, Denton, TX 76203-5017, United States; Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, 2201 S. Gaylord St., Denver, CO 80210, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Salehyan I.,Hendrix C.S.. Climate shocks and political violence[J],2014,28(1).
APA	Salehyan I.,&Hendrix C.S..(2014).Climate shocks and political violence.Global Environmental Change,28(1).
MLA	Salehyan I.,et al."Climate shocks and political violence".Global Environmental Change 28.1(2014).