气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Terrestrial biodiversity and climate change

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/978-94-007-5784-4_13
	Terrestrial biodiversity and climate change
	Bradford M.A.; Warren R.J.; II
发表日期	2014
ISSN	0959-3780
英文摘要	Habitat change, invasive species, over-exploitation, pollution, and climate change drive biodiversity loss. Together, these anthropogenic effects may have initiated the sixth mass extinction. Between 15 % and 37 % of terrestrial species may be lost by 2050, and the remaining species likely will shift polewards and upwards to create novel assemblages of species. Reliable prediction of which species will go extinct, where they will relocate, and with whom they will associate can only be achieved through substantial advances in our understanding of the physical and biological world. Indeed, many models associating species with climate change use oversimplified assumptions about the factors that regulate species survival, abundance, and distribution. In reality, there are many biotic (e.g., competitors, predators, mutualists) and abiotic (e.g., temperature, moisture) factors that determine a species survival at micro- and macrohabitat scales. Current work typically focuses on a few abiotic factors at macrohabitat scales, leaving high uncertainty in how species will respond to climate change. The best management strategy for preserving biodiversity will, therefore, be a redress of the human footprint on the biosphere. Local initiatives alone may be ineffective. For example, wildlife reserves will be unsuccessful if climate change shifts temperature and rainfall outside the targeted species optimal requirements. If so, management must address whether the target species can migrate from the wildlife reserve towards suitable habitat. As such, conservation strategies must facilitate species movement that tracks favorable climate, via corridor maintenance and/or careful translocation of species to new habitat. The latter option is contentious given that movement of species might prevent extinction but threaten native species in the introduced range. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014.
英文关键词	Adaptation; Climate envelope models; Conservation; Demography; Extinction; Forecasting; Niche; Prediction; Radiative forcing; Species distributions; Species translocations; Uncertainty
语种	英语
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117662
作者单位	School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States; Department of Biology, SUNY Buffalo State, Buffalo, NY, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bradford M.A.,Warren R.J.,II. Terrestrial biodiversity and climate change[J],2014.
APA	Bradford M.A.,Warren R.J.,&II.(2014).Terrestrial biodiversity and climate change.Global Environmental Change.
MLA	Bradford M.A.,et al."Terrestrial biodiversity and climate change".Global Environmental Change (2014).