气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Framing the application of adaptation pathways for rural livelihoods and global change in eastern Indonesian islands

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.12.004
	Framing the application of adaptation pathways for rural livelihoods and global change in eastern Indonesian islands
	Butler J.R.A.; Suadnya W.; Puspadi K.; Sutaryono Y.; Wise R.M.; Skewes T.D.; Kirono D.; Bohensky E.L.; Handayani T.; Habibi P.; Kisman M.; Suharto I.; Hanartani; Supartarningsih S.; Ripaldi A.; Fachry A.; Yanuartati Y.; Abbas G.; Duggan K.; Ash A.
发表日期	2014
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	28
英文摘要	In developing countries adaptation responses to climate and global change should be integrated with human development to generate no regrets, co-benefit strategies for the rural poor, but there are few examples of how to achieve this. The adaptation pathways approach provides a potentially useful decision-making framework because it aims to steer societies towards sustainable futures by accounting for complex systems, uncertainty and contested multi-stakeholder arenas, and by maintaining adaptation options. Using Nusa Tenggara Barat Province, Indonesia, as an example we consider whether generic justifications for adaptation pathways are tenable in the local context of climate and global change, rural poverty and development. Interviews and focus groups held with a cross-section of provincial leaders showed that the causes of community vulnerability are indeed highly complex and dynamic, influenced by 20 interacting drivers, of which climate variability and change are only two. Climate change interacts with population growth and ecosystem degradation to reduce land, water and food availability. Although poverty is resilient due to corruption, traditional institutions and fatalism, there is also considerable system flux due to decentralisation, modernisation and erosion of traditional culture. Together with several thresholds in drivers, potential shocks and paradoxes, these characteristics result in unpredictable system trajectories. Decision-making is also contested due to tensions around formal and informal leadership, corruption, community participation in planning and female empowerment. Based on this context we propose an adaptation pathways approach which can address the proximate and systemic causes of vulnerability and contested decision-making. Appropriate participatory processes and governance structures are suggested, including integrated livelihoods and multi-scale systems analysis, scenario planning, adaptive co-management and 'livelihood innovation niches'. We briefly discuss how this framing of adaptation pathways would differ from one in the developed context of neighbouring Australia, including the influence of the province's island geography on the heterogeneity of livelihoods and climate change, the pre-eminence and rapid change of social drivers, and the necessity to 'leap-frog' the Millennium Development Goals by mid-century to build adaptive capacity for imminent climate change impacts. © 2013.
英文关键词	Adaptive co-management; Climate change; Drivers of change; Innovation niches; Livelihoods; Millennium Development Goals
学科领域	adaptive management; climate change; decision making; developing world; empowerment; global change; heterogeneity; human development index; Millenium Development Goal; population growth; rural development; rural population; stakeholder; vulnerability; Indonesia; West Nusa Tenggara; Anura
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adaptive management; climate change; decision making; developing world; empowerment; global change; heterogeneity; human development index; Millenium Development Goal; population growth; rural development; rural population; stakeholder; vulnerability; Indonesia; West Nusa Tenggara; Anura
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117571
作者单位	CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, EcoSciences Precinct, GPO Box 2583, Brisbane, QLD 4001, Australia; Faculty of Agriculture, University of Mataram, Jl. Majapahit 62, Mataram, Nusa Tenggara Barat Province, 83127, Indonesia; Assessment Institute for Agricultural Technology, Lombok, Nusa Tenggara Barat Province, Indonesia; Faculty of Livestock Science, University of Mataram, Jl. Majapahit 62, Mataram, Nusa Tenggara Barat Province, 83125, Indonesia; CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, Black Mountain, Canberra, ACT 2911, Australia; CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, GPO Box 2583, Brisbane, QLD 4001, Australia; CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Private Bag No 1, Aspendale, VIC 3195, Australia; CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, Australian Tropical Science Precinct, Private Mail Bag, Aitkenvale, QLD 4814, Australia; VECO Indonesia, Denpasar, Indonesia; Indonesia Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics Agency, Jl. TGH. Ibrahim Khalidy, Kediri, Lobar, Mataram, Nusa Tenggara Ba...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Butler J.R.A.,Suadnya W.,Puspadi K.,et al. Framing the application of adaptation pathways for rural livelihoods and global change in eastern Indonesian islands[J],2014,28.
APA	Butler J.R.A..,Suadnya W..,Puspadi K..,Sutaryono Y..,Wise R.M..,...&Ash A..(2014).Framing the application of adaptation pathways for rural livelihoods and global change in eastern Indonesian islands.Global Environmental Change,28.
MLA	Butler J.R.A.,et al."Framing the application of adaptation pathways for rural livelihoods and global change in eastern Indonesian islands".Global Environmental Change 28(2014).