气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The devil is in the details: An investigation of the relationships between conflict, food price and climate across Africa

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.03.005
	The devil is in the details: An investigation of the relationships between conflict, food price and climate across Africa
	Raleigh C.; Choi H.J.; Kniveton D.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	32
英文摘要	This study investigates the relationship between violent conflict, food price, and climate variability at the subnational level. Using disaggregated data on 113 African markets from January 1997 to April 2010, interrelationships between the three variables are analyzed in simultaneous equation models. We find that: (i) a positive feedback exists between food price and violence - higher food prices increase conflict rates within markets and conflict increases food prices; (ii) anomalously dry conditions are associated with increased frequencies of conflict; and (iii) decreased rainfall exerts an indirect effect on conflict through its impact on food prices. These findings suggest that the negative effects of climate variability on conflict can be mitigated by interventions and effective price management in local markets. Creating environments in which food prices are stable and reliable, and markets are accessible and safe, can lower the impacts of both climate change and conflict feedbacks. © 2015 The Authors.
英文关键词	Africa; Climate change; Conflict; Food price; Rainfall; Simultaneous equations model
学科领域	climate change; climate variation; data set; ecological economics; food market; numerical model; price dynamics; social conflict; Africa
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; climate variation; data set; ecological economics; food market; numerical model; price dynamics; social conflict; Africa
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117523
作者单位	University of Sussex, United Kingdom; Kyunghee University, South Korea
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Raleigh C.,Choi H.J.,Kniveton D.. The devil is in the details: An investigation of the relationships between conflict, food price and climate across Africa[J],2015,32.
APA	Raleigh C.,Choi H.J.,&Kniveton D..(2015).The devil is in the details: An investigation of the relationships between conflict, food price and climate across Africa.Global Environmental Change,32.
MLA	Raleigh C.,et al."The devil is in the details: An investigation of the relationships between conflict, food price and climate across Africa".Global Environmental Change 32(2015).