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DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.02.013 |
Seepage: Climate change denial and its effect on the scientific community | |
Lewandowsky S.; Oreskes N.; Risbey J.S.; Newell B.R.; Smithson M. | |
发表日期 | 2015 |
ISSN | 0959-3780 |
卷号 | 33 |
英文摘要 | Vested interests and political agents have long opposed political or regulatory action in response to climate change by appealing to scientific uncertainty. Here we examine the effect of such contrarian talking points on the scientific community itself. We show that although scientists are trained in dealing with uncertainty, there are several psychological reasons why scientists may nevertheless be susceptible to uncertainty-based argumentation, even when scientists recognize those arguments as false and are actively rebutting them. Specifically, we show that prolonged stereotype threat, pluralistic ignorance, and a form of projection (the third-person effect) may cause scientists to take positions that they would be less likely to take in the absence of outspoken public opposition. We illustrate the consequences of seepage from public debate into the scientific process with a case study involving the interpretation of temperature trends from the last 15 years. We offer ways in which the scientific community can detect and avoid such inadvertent seepage. © 2015 The Authors. |
英文关键词 | Climate change; Climate change denial; Global warming "hiatus"; Scientific assessment; Scientific norms |
学科领域 | assessment method; global warming; psychology; seepage; temperature effect; uncertainty analysis; climate change; global change; hiatus; temperature; training; trend analysis |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | assessment method; global warming; psychology; seepage; temperature effect; uncertainty analysis; climate change; global change; hiatus; temperature; training; trend analysis |
来源期刊 | Global Environmental Change
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117508 |
作者单位 | University of Bristol, United Kingdom; University of Western Australia, Australia; Harvard University, United States; CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia; University of New South Wales, Australia; Australian National University, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lewandowsky S.,Oreskes N.,Risbey J.S.,et al. Seepage: Climate change denial and its effect on the scientific community[J],2015,33. |
APA | Lewandowsky S.,Oreskes N.,Risbey J.S.,Newell B.R.,&Smithson M..(2015).Seepage: Climate change denial and its effect on the scientific community.Global Environmental Change,33. |
MLA | Lewandowsky S.,et al."Seepage: Climate change denial and its effect on the scientific community".Global Environmental Change 33(2015). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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