气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Human development in a climate-constrained world: What the past says about the future

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.03.010
	Human development in a climate-constrained world: What the past says about the future
	Lamb W.F.; Rao N.D.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	33
英文摘要	Energy consumption is necessary for the delivery of human development by supporting access to basic needs, services and infrastructure. Given prevailing technologies and the high degree of inertia in practical rates of decarbonisation, growth in energy consumption from rising global living standards may drive consequent greenhouse gas emissions (GHG). In this paper the 'development as usual' GHG emissions impact of achieving high levels of life expectancy, access to basic needs and continued economic growth are projected to the mid-century using historical elasticities of development and energy consumption in 3 regions - Africa, Centrally Planned Asia, and South Asia. The results suggest that long life expectancy and high levels of access to basic needs are achievable at lower levels of emissions than continued economic growth, but will consume a substantial share of the global budget associated with a 2. °C climate goal. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Basic needs; Carbon emissions mitigation; Climate change; Development; Human well-being
学科领域	economic development; economic growth; emission control; energy conservation; greenhouse gas; standardization; basic needs; carbon emission; climate change; energy use; global change; human development index; inertia; life expectancy; living standard; Africa; Asia
语种	英语
scopus关键词	economic development; economic growth; emission control; energy conservation; greenhouse gas; standardization; basic needs; carbon emission; climate change; energy use; global change; human development index; inertia; life expectancy; living standard; Africa; Asia
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117507
作者单位	Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Manchester, Pariser Building, Manchester, M13 9PL, United Kingdom; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Schlossplatz 1, Laxenburg, A2361, Austria
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lamb W.F.,Rao N.D.. Human development in a climate-constrained world: What the past says about the future[J],2015,33.
APA	Lamb W.F.,&Rao N.D..(2015).Human development in a climate-constrained world: What the past says about the future.Global Environmental Change,33.
MLA	Lamb W.F.,et al."Human development in a climate-constrained world: What the past says about the future".Global Environmental Change 33(2015).