气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for sub-national impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability studies

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.04.004
	Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for sub-national impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability studies
	Absar S.M.; Preston B.L.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	33
英文摘要	The exploration of alternative socioeconomic futures is an important aspect of understanding the potential consequences of climate change. While socioeconomic scenarios are common and, at times essential, tools for the impacts, adaptation and vulnerability and integrated assessment modeling research communities, their approaches to scenario development have historically been quite distinct. However, increasing convergence of impacts, adaptation and vulnerability and integrated assessment modeling research in terms of scales of analysis suggests there may be value in the development of a common framework for socioeconomic scenarios. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways represents an opportunity for the development of such a common framework. However, the scales at which these global storylines have been developed are largely incommensurate with the sub-national scales at which impacts, adaptation and vulnerability and, increasingly, integrated assessment modeling studies are conducted. The objective of this study was to develop sub-national and sectoral extensions of the global SSP storylines in order to identify future socioeconomic challenges for adaptation for the U.S. Southeast. A set of nested qualitative socioeconomic storyline elements, integrated storylines, and accompanying quantitative indicators were developed through an application of the Factor-Actor-Sector framework. In addition to revealing challenges and opportunities associated with the use of the SSPs as a basis for more refined scenario development, this study generated sub-national storyline elements and storylines that can subsequently be used to explore the implications of alternative sub-national socioeconomic futures for the assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Adaptive capacity; Climate change; Shared Socioeconomic Pathways; Socioeconomic scenarios; Vulnerability
学科领域	climate change; climate effect; socioeconomic conditions; vulnerability; adaptive management; assessment method; future prospect; global change; integrated approach; socioeconomic status; United States
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; climate effect; socioeconomic conditions; vulnerability; adaptive management; assessment method; future prospect; global change; integrated approach; socioeconomic status; United States
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117501
作者单位	Climate Change Science Institute and Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831-6253, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Absar S.M.,Preston B.L.. Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for sub-national impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability studies[J],2015,33.
APA	Absar S.M.,&Preston B.L..(2015).Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for sub-national impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability studies.Global Environmental Change,33.
MLA	Absar S.M.,et al."Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for sub-national impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability studies".Global Environmental Change 33(2015).