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DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.04.012 |
Carbon dioxide emissions in the short run: The rate and sources of economic growth matter | |
Burke P.J.; Shahiduzzaman M.; Stern D.I. | |
发表日期 | 2015 |
ISSN | 0959-3780 |
卷号 | 33 |
英文摘要 | This paper investigates the short-run effects of economic growth on carbon dioxide emissions from the combustion of fossil fuels and the manufacture of cement for 189 countries over the period 1961-2010. Contrary to what has previously been reported, we conclude that there is no strong evidence that the emissions-income elasticity is larger during individual years of economic expansion as compared to recession. Significant evidence of asymmetry emerges when effects over longer periods are considered. We find that economic growth tends to increase emissions not only in the same year, but also in subsequent years. Delayed effects - especially noticeable in the road transport sector - mean that emissions tend to grow more quickly after booms and more slowly after recessions. Emissions are more sensitive to fluctuations in industrial value added than agricultural value added, with services being an intermediate case. On the expenditure side, growth in consumption and growth in investment have similar implications for national emissions. External shocks have a relatively large emissions impact, and the short-run emissions-income elasticity does not appear to decline as incomes increase. Economic growth and emissions have been more tightly linked in fossil-fuel rich countries. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd. |
英文关键词 | Asymmetry; Business cycle; Economic growth; Emissions; Pollution; Sector |
学科领域 | asymmetry; business cycle; carbon dioxide; economic growth; environmental economics; fossil fuel; pollutant source; road transport; temporal period; cement; combustion; emission inventory; global change; investment; pollution monitoring; spatiotemporal analysis |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | asymmetry; business cycle; carbon dioxide; economic growth; environmental economics; fossil fuel; pollutant source; road transport; temporal period; cement; combustion; emission inventory; global change; investment; pollution monitoring; spatiotemporal analysis |
来源期刊 | Global Environmental Change
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117500 |
作者单位 | Arndt-Corden Department of Economics, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, 9 Fellows Road, Acton, ACT 2601, Australia; Australian Centre for Sustainable Business and Development, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, QLD 4350, Australia; Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, 132 Lennox Crossing, Acton, ACT 2601, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Burke P.J.,Shahiduzzaman M.,Stern D.I.. Carbon dioxide emissions in the short run: The rate and sources of economic growth matter[J],2015,33. |
APA | Burke P.J.,Shahiduzzaman M.,&Stern D.I..(2015).Carbon dioxide emissions in the short run: The rate and sources of economic growth matter.Global Environmental Change,33. |
MLA | Burke P.J.,et al."Carbon dioxide emissions in the short run: The rate and sources of economic growth matter".Global Environmental Change 33(2015). |
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