气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.04.010
	Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios
	Gernaat D.E.H.J.; Calvin K.; Lucas P.L.; Luderer G.; Otto S.A.C.; Rao S.; Strefler J.; van Vuuren D.P.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	33
英文摘要	In 2010, the combined emissions of methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O) and the fluorinated gasses (F-gas) accounted for 20-30% of Kyoto emissions and about 30% of radiative forcing. Current scenario studies conclude that in order to reach deep climate targets (radiative forcing of 2.8W/m2) in 2100, carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions will need to be reduced to zero or negative. However, studies indicated that non-CO2 emissions seem to be have less mitigation potential. To support effective climate policy strategies, an in-depth assessment was made of non-CO2 greenhouse gas emission and their sources in achieving an ambitious climate target. Emission scenarios were assessed that had been produced by six integrated assessments models, which contributed to the scenario database for the fifth IPCC report. All model scenarios reduced emissions from energy-related sectors, largely resulting from structural changes and end-of-pipe abatement technologies. However, emission reductions were much less in the agricultural sectors. Furthermore, there were considerable differences in abatement potential between the model scenarios, and most notably in the agricultural sectors. The paper shows that better exploration of long-term abatement potential of non-CO2 emissions is critical for the feasibility of deep climate targets. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Climate policy strategies; Deep mitigation scenarios; Fluorinated gasses (F-gas); Methane (CH4); Nitrous oxide (N2O); Non-CO2 emissions
学科领域	assessment method; atmospheric modeling; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; emission control; environmental policy; fluorine; greenhouse gas; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; methane; nitrous oxide; numerical model; radiative forcing; database; emission inventory; Kyoto Protocol; panel data
语种	英语
scopus关键词	assessment method; atmospheric modeling; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; emission control; environmental policy; fluorine; greenhouse gas; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; methane; nitrous oxide; numerical model; radiative forcing; database; emission inventory; Kyoto Protocol; panel data
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117497
作者单位	Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 2, CS Utrecht, NL-3584, Netherlands; PBL Netherlands Environment Assessment Agency, PO Box 303, BA Bilthoven, 3720, Netherlands; Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and University of Maryland, United States; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Schlossplatz 1, Laxenburg, A-2361, Austria; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), PO Box 60 12 03, Potsdam, 14412, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gernaat D.E.H.J.,Calvin K.,Lucas P.L.,et al. Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios[J],2015,33.
APA	Gernaat D.E.H.J..,Calvin K..,Lucas P.L..,Luderer G..,Otto S.A.C..,...&van Vuuren D.P..(2015).Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios.Global Environmental Change,33.
MLA	Gernaat D.E.H.J.,et al."Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios".Global Environmental Change 33(2015).