气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Current trends of rubber plantation expansion may threaten biodiversity and livelihoods

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.002
	Current trends of rubber plantation expansion may threaten biodiversity and livelihoods
	Ahrends A.; Hollingsworth P.M.; Ziegler A.D.; Fox J.M.; Chen H.; Su Y.; Xu J.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	34
英文摘要	The first decade of the new millennium saw a boom in rubber prices. This led to rapid and widespread land conversion to monoculture rubber plantations in continental SE Asia, where natural rubber production has increased >50% since 2000. Here, we analyze the subsequent spread of rubber between 2005 and 2010 in combination with environmental data and reports on rubber plantation performance. We show that rubber has been planted into increasingly sub-optimal environments. Currently, 72% of plantation area is in environmentally marginal zones where reduced yields are likely. An estimated 57% of the area is susceptible to insufficient water availability, erosion, frost, or wind damage, all of which may make long-term rubber production unsustainable. In 2013 typhoons destroyed plantations worth US$ >250 million in Vietnam alone, and future climate change is likely to lead to a net exacerbation of environmental marginality for both current and predicted future rubber plantation area. New rubber plantations are also frequently placed on lands that are important for biodiversity conservation and ecological functions. For example, between 2005 and 2010 >2500 km2 of natural tree cover and 610 km2 of protected areas were converted to plantations. Overall, expansion into marginal areas creates potential for loss-loss scenarios: clearing of high-biodiversity value land for economically unsustainable plantations that are poorly adapted to local conditions and alter landscape functions (e.g. hydrology, erosion) - ultimately compromising livelihoods, particularly when rubber prices fall. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Biodiversity; Cash crops; Deforestation; Rubber; South East Asia
学科领域	biodiversity; cash cropping; climate change; data set; deforestation; dicotyledon; economic analysis; landscape; monoculture; nature-society relations; plantation forestry; prediction; price dynamics; protected area; rubber; typhoon; vegetation cover; water availability; yield response; anthropogenic effect; conservation management; ecosystem function; plantation; sustainability; Typhoon Haiyan 2013; Viet Nam; Southeast Asia
语种	英语
scopus关键词	biodiversity; cash cropping; climate change; data set; deforestation; dicotyledon; economic analysis; landscape; monoculture; nature-society relations; plantation forestry; prediction; price dynamics; protected area; rubber; typhoon; vegetation cover; water availability; yield response; anthropogenic effect; conservation management; ecosystem function; plantation; sustainability; Typhoon Haiyan 2013; Viet Nam; Southeast Asia
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117491
作者单位	Key Laboratory for Plant Diversity and Biogeography of East Asia, Kunming Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, 650201, China; Royal Botanic Garden Edinburgh, 20A Inverleith Row, Edinburgh, EH3 5LR, United Kingdom; National University of Singapore, 10 Kent Ridge Crescent, Singapore, 119260, Singapore; East-West Center, 1601 East-West Road, Honolulu, HI 96848, United States; World Agroforestry Center, East and Central Asia, Kunming, 650201, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ahrends A.,Hollingsworth P.M.,Ziegler A.D.,et al. Current trends of rubber plantation expansion may threaten biodiversity and livelihoods[J],2015,34.
APA	Ahrends A..,Hollingsworth P.M..,Ziegler A.D..,Fox J.M..,Chen H..,...&Xu J..(2015).Current trends of rubber plantation expansion may threaten biodiversity and livelihoods.Global Environmental Change,34.
MLA	Ahrends A.,et al."Current trends of rubber plantation expansion may threaten biodiversity and livelihoods".Global Environmental Change 34(2015).