气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A blind expert test of contrarian claims about climate data

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.04.013
	A blind expert test of contrarian claims about climate data
	Lewandowsky S.; Ballard T.; Oberauer K.; Benestad R.
发表日期	2016
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	39
英文摘要	Although virtually all experts agree that CO2 emissions are causing anthropogenic global warming, public discourse is replete with contrarian claims that either deny that global warming is happening or dispute a human influence. Although the rejection of climate science is known to be driven by ideological, psychological, and political factors rather than scientific disagreement, contrarian views have considerable prominence in the media. A better understanding of contrarian discourse is therefore called for. We report a blind expert test of contrarian claims about climatological variables. Expert economists and statisticians were presented with representative contrarian statements (e.g., "Arctic ice is recovering") translated into an economic or demographic context. In that blind test, contrarian claims were found to be misleading. By contrast, mainstream scientific interpretations of the data were judged to be accurate and policy relevant. The results imply that media inclusion of contrarian statements may increase bias rather than balance. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Climate change; Climate change denial; Public discourse about climate change
学科领域	anthropogenic effect; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; climate change; data interpretation; demography; environmental policy; global warming; perception; Arctic
语种	英语
scopus关键词	anthropogenic effect; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; climate change; data interpretation; demography; environmental policy; global warming; perception; Arctic
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117360
作者单位	University of Bristol, United Kingdom; University of Western Australia, Australia; University of Queensland, Australia; University of Zurich, Switzerland; The Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Norway
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lewandowsky S.,Ballard T.,Oberauer K.,et al. A blind expert test of contrarian claims about climate data[J],2016,39.
APA	Lewandowsky S.,Ballard T.,Oberauer K.,&Benestad R..(2016).A blind expert test of contrarian claims about climate data.Global Environmental Change,39.
MLA	Lewandowsky S.,et al."A blind expert test of contrarian claims about climate data".Global Environmental Change 39(2016).