气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Demand for biodiversity protection and carbon storage as drivers of global land change scenarios

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.014
	Demand for biodiversity protection and carbon storage as drivers of global land change scenarios
	Eitelberg D.A.; van Vliet J.; Doelman J.C.; Stehfest E.; Verburg P.H.
发表日期	2016
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	40
英文摘要	Many global land change scenarios are driven by demand for food, feed, fiber, and fuel. However, novel demands for other ecosystem services give rise to nexus issues and can lead to different land system changes. In this paper we explore the effects of including multiple different demands in land change scenarios. Our reference scenario is driven by demands for crop production, ruminant livestock production, and provisioning of built-up area. We then compare two alternative scenarios with additional demands for terrestrial carbon storage and biodiversity protection, respectively. These scenarios represent possible implementations of globally agreed policy targets. The simulated land system change scenarios are compared in terms of changes in cropland intensity and area, as well as tree and grassland area changes. We find that the carbon and biodiversity scenarios generally result in greater intensification and less expansion of cropland, with the biodiversity scenario showing a stronger intensification effect. However, the impact of setting the targets impacts different world regions in different ways. Overall, both scenarios result in a larger tree area compared to the reference scenario, while the carbon scenario also yields more grassland area. The land systems simulated while accounting for these additional demand types show strong patterns of specialization and spatial segregation in the provisioning of goods and services in different world regions. Our results indicate the relevance of including demands for multiple different goods and services in global land change assessments. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Agricultural intensification; Biodiversity; Ecosystem services; Land use and land cover; Land-change model; Terrestrial carbon
学科领域	biodiversity; carbon; carbon sequestration; crop production; ecosystem service; global change; grassland; intensive agriculture; land cover; land use change; livestock farming; resource availability; ruminant; specialization
语种	英语
scopus关键词	biodiversity; carbon; carbon sequestration; crop production; ecosystem service; global change; grassland; intensive agriculture; land cover; land use change; livestock farming; resource availability; ruminant; specialization
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117332
作者单位	Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1087, Amsterdam, 1081 HV, Netherlands; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, 3720 BA, Netherlands
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Eitelberg D.A.,van Vliet J.,Doelman J.C.,et al. Demand for biodiversity protection and carbon storage as drivers of global land change scenarios[J],2016,40.
APA	Eitelberg D.A.,van Vliet J.,Doelman J.C.,Stehfest E.,&Verburg P.H..(2016).Demand for biodiversity protection and carbon storage as drivers of global land change scenarios.Global Environmental Change,40.
MLA	Eitelberg D.A.,et al."Demand for biodiversity protection and carbon storage as drivers of global land change scenarios".Global Environmental Change 40(2016).