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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.008
	Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
	van Vuuren D.P.; Stehfest E.; Gernaat D.E.H.J.; Doelman J.C.; van den Berg M.; Harmsen M.; de Boer H.S.; Bouwman L.F.; Daioglou V.; Edelenbosch O.Y.; Girod B.; Kram T.; Lassaletta L.; Lucas P.L.; van Meijl H.; Müller C.; van Ruijven B.J.; van der Sluis S.; Tabeau A.
发表日期	2017
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	42
英文摘要	This paper describes the possible developments in global energy use and production, land use, emissions and climate changes following the SSP1 storyline, a development consistent with the green growth (or sustainable development) paradigm (a more inclusive development respecting environmental boundaries). The results are based on the implementation using the IMAGE 3.0 integrated assessment model and are compared with a) other IMAGE implementations of the SSPs (SSP2 and SSP3) and b) the SSP1 implementation of other integrated assessment models. The results show that a combination of resource efficiency, preferences for sustainable production methods and investment in human development could lead to a strong transition towards a more renewable energy supply, less land use and lower anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions in 2100 than in 2010, even in the absence of explicit climate policies. At the same time, climate policy would still be needed to reduce emissions further, in order to reduce the projected increase of global mean temperature from 3 °C (SSP1 reference scenario) to 2 or 1.5 °C (in line with current policy targets). The SSP1 storyline could be a basis for further discussions on how climate policy can be combined with achieving other societal goals. © 2017 The Authors
英文关键词	Climate change research; Integrated assessment; Scenarios; Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs); Sustainable development
学科领域	anthropogenic effect; climate change; emission; emission control; energy resource; energy use; environmental assessment; environmental economics; environmental policy; greenhouse gas; integrated approach; land use; paradigm shift; renewable resource; scenario analysis; sustainable development
语种	英语
scopus关键词	anthropogenic effect; climate change; emission; emission control; energy resource; energy use; environmental assessment; environmental economics; environmental policy; greenhouse gas; integrated approach; land use; paradigm shift; renewable resource; scenario analysis; sustainable development
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117300
作者单位	PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Netherlands; Department of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Netherlands; Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETH Zurich), Department of Management, Technology, and Economics, Chair of Sustainability and Technology, Switzerland; LEI Wageningen University and Research Centre, Netherlands; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Germany; National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	van Vuuren D.P.,Stehfest E.,Gernaat D.E.H.J.,et al. Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm[J],2017,42.
APA	van Vuuren D.P..,Stehfest E..,Gernaat D.E.H.J..,Doelman J.C..,van den Berg M..,...&Tabeau A..(2017).Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm.Global Environmental Change,42.
MLA	van Vuuren D.P.,et al."Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm".Global Environmental Change 42(2017).