气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012
	Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways
	Rao S.; Klimont Z.; Smith S.J.; Van Dingenen R.; Dentener F.; Bouwman L.; Riahi K.; Amann M.; Bodirsky B.L.; van Vuuren D.P.; Aleluia Reis L.; Calvin K.; Drouet L.; Fricko O.; Fujimori S.; Gernaat D.; Havlik P.; Harmsen M.; Hasegawa T.; Heyes C.; Hilaire J.; Luderer G.; Masui T.; Stehfest E.; Strefler J.; van der Sluis S.; Tavoni M.
发表日期	2017
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	42
英文摘要	Emissions of air pollutants such as sulfur and nitrogen oxides and particulates have significant health impacts as well as effects on natural and anthropogenic ecosystems. These same emissions also can change atmospheric chemistry and the planetary energy balance, thereby impacting global and regional climate. Long-term scenarios for air pollutant emissions are needed as inputs to global climate and chemistry models, and for analysis linking air pollutant impacts across sectors. In this paper we present methodology and results for air pollutant emissions in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios. We first present a set of three air pollution narratives that describe high, central, and low pollution control ambitions over the 21st century. These narratives are then translated into quantitative guidance for use in integrated assessment models. The resulting pollutant emission trajectories under the SSP scenarios cover a wider range than the scenarios used in previous international climate model comparisons. In the SSP3 and SSP4 scenarios, where economic, institutional and technological limitations slow air quality improvements, global pollutant emissions over the 21st century can be comparable to current levels. Pollutant emissions in the SSP1 scenarios fall to low levels due to the assumption of technological advances and successful global action to control emissions. © 2016 The Authors
英文关键词	Air pollution; Integrated assessment models; Scenarios
学科领域	air quality; atmospheric chemistry; atmospheric pollution; emission inventory; energy balance; environmental assessment; integrated approach; nitrogen oxides; pollution control; socioeconomic conditions; sulfur dioxide
语种	英语
scopus关键词	air quality; atmospheric chemistry; atmospheric pollution; emission inventory; energy balance; environmental assessment; integrated approach; nitrogen oxides; pollution control; socioeconomic conditions; sulfur dioxide
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117299
作者单位	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz-1, Laxenburg, A-2361, Austria; Norwegian Institute of Public Health, PO Box 4404, Nydalen, Oslo 0403, Norway; Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, 5825 University Research Court, Suite 3500, College Park, MD 20740, United States; Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland, Park, College, MD 20742, United States; Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Via Enrico Fermi 2749, Ispra (VA), I-21027, Italy; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Ant. van Leeuwenhoeklaan 9, Bilthoven, MA 3721, Netherlands; Department of Earth Sciences, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, PO Box 80021, Utrecht, TA 3508, Netherlands; Graz University of Technology, Inffeldgasse, Graz, A-8010, Austria; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), PO Box 60 12 03, Potsdam, 14412, Germany; Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organ...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rao S.,Klimont Z.,Smith S.J.,et al. Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways[J],2017,42.
APA	Rao S..,Klimont Z..,Smith S.J..,Van Dingenen R..,Dentener F..,...&Tavoni M..(2017).Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways.Global Environmental Change,42.
MLA	Rao S.,et al."Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways".Global Environmental Change 42(2017).