气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): From shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) to oceanic system pathways (OSPs): Building policy-relevant scenarios for global oceanic ecosystems and fisheries

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.06.007
	From shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) to oceanic system pathways (OSPs): Building policy-relevant scenarios for global oceanic ecosystems and fisheries
	Maury O.; Campling L.; Arrizabalaga H.; Aumont O.; Bopp L.; Merino G.; Squires D.; Cheung W.; Goujon M.; Guivarch C.; Lefort S.; Marsac F.; Monteagudo P.; Murtugudde R.; Österblom H.; Pulvenis J.F.; Ye Y.; van Ruijven B.J.
发表日期	2017
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	45
英文摘要	There is an urgent need for developing policy-relevant future scenarios of biodiversity and ecosystem services. This paper is a milestone toward this aim focusing on open ocean fisheries. We develop five contrasting Oceanic System Pathways (OSPs), based on the existing five archetypal worlds of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) developed for climate change research (e.g., Nakicenovic et al., 2014 and Riahi et al., 2016). First, we specify the boundaries of the oceanic social-ecological system under focus. Second, the two major driving forces of oceanic social-ecological systems are identified in each of three domains, viz., economy, management and governance. For each OSP (OSP1 “sustainability first”, OSP2 “conventional trends”, OSP3 “dislocation”, OSP4 “global elite and inequality”, OSP5 “high tech and market”), a storyline is outlined describing the evolution of the driving forces with the corresponding SSP. Finally, we compare the different pathways of oceanic social-ecological systems by projecting them in the two-dimensional spaces defined by the driving forces, in each of the economy, management and governance domains. We expect that the OSPs will serve as a common basis for future model-based scenario studies in the context of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES). © 2017 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Economy; Governance; Management; Oceanic fisheries; Oceanic system pathways (OSPs); Scenarios; Shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)
学科领域	biodiversity; climate change; ecosystem service; fishery management; future prospect; global ocean; governance approach; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; open ocean; policy making; resource economy; scenario analysis; socioeconomic conditions
语种	英语
scopus关键词	biodiversity; climate change; ecosystem service; fishery management; future prospect; global ocean; governance approach; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; open ocean; policy making; resource economy; scenario analysis; socioeconomic conditions
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117232
作者单位	IRD – UMR 248 MARBEC, Av Jean Monnet CS 30171SETE cedex 34203, France; IRD – International Laboratory ICEMASA, Department of Oceanography, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Rondebosch, Cape Town, 7701, South Africa; School of Business and Management, Queen Mary University of London, United Kingdom; AZTI. Herrera Kaia portualdea z/g., Pasaia, Gipuzkoa 20110, Spain; UMR 7159 LOCEAN, IPSL, Boîte 100, 4 place JussieuPARIS Cedex 05 75252, France; LSCE/IPSL, CNRS/CEA/UVSQ, Orme des Merisiers, CE SaclayGif s/Yvette 91191, France; Departement Geosciences, Ecole Normale Supérieure, 24 rue Lhomond, Paris, 75005, France; University of California, San Diego, United States; Nippon Foundation-Nereus Program & Changing Ocean Research Unit, Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, B.C. V6T 1Z4, Canada; ORTHONGEL, 11 Rue des Sardiniers, Concarneau, 29900, France; CIRED, Ecole des Ponts ParisTech, 45bis avenue de la Belle Gabrielle, Nogent-sur-Marne, 94736, France; OPAG...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Maury O.,Campling L.,Arrizabalaga H.,et al. From shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) to oceanic system pathways (OSPs): Building policy-relevant scenarios for global oceanic ecosystems and fisheries[J],2017,45.
APA	Maury O..,Campling L..,Arrizabalaga H..,Aumont O..,Bopp L..,...&van Ruijven B.J..(2017).From shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) to oceanic system pathways (OSPs): Building policy-relevant scenarios for global oceanic ecosystems and fisheries.Global Environmental Change,45.
MLA	Maury O.,et al."From shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) to oceanic system pathways (OSPs): Building policy-relevant scenarios for global oceanic ecosystems and fisheries".Global Environmental Change 45(2017).