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DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.04.009 |
Child health outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa: A comparison of changes in climate and socio-economic factors | |
Davenport F.; Grace K.; Funk C.; Shukla S. | |
发表日期 | 2017 |
ISSN | 0959-3780 |
卷号 | 46 |
英文摘要 | We compare changes in low birth weight and child malnutrition in 13 African countries under projected climate change versus socio-economic development scenarios. Climate scenarios are created by linking surface temperature gradients with declines in seasonal rainfall sea along with warming values of 1 °C and 2 °C. Socio-economic scenarios are developed by assigning regionally specific changes in access to household electricity and mother's education. Using these scenarios, in combination with established models of children's health, we investigate and compare the changes in predicted health outcomes. We find that the negative effects of warming and drying on child stunting could be mitigated by positive development trends associated with increasing mothers’ educational status and household access to electricity. We find less potential for these trends to mitigate how warming and drying trends impact birth weights. In short, under warming and drying, the risk of more malnourished children is greater than the risk of more children with low birth weights, but increases in child malnutrition could be averted in regions that increase access to educational resources and basic infrastructure. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd |
英文关键词 | Climate change; Food security; Infant health; Shared socioeconomic pathways |
学科领域 | accessibility; body mass; child health; climate change; comparative study; food security; health risk; malnutrition; resource availability; socioeconomic conditions; weight; Sub-Saharan Africa |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | accessibility; body mass; child health; climate change; comparative study; food security; health risk; malnutrition; resource availability; socioeconomic conditions; weight; Sub-Saharan Africa |
来源期刊 | Global Environmental Change |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117225 |
作者单位 | Climate Hazards Group, Department of Geography, University of California Santa Barbara, United States; Department of Geography, University of Minnesota, United States; US Geological Survey (U.S.G.S.), United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Davenport F.,Grace K.,Funk C.,et al. Child health outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa: A comparison of changes in climate and socio-economic factors[J],2017,46. |
APA | Davenport F.,Grace K.,Funk C.,&Shukla S..(2017).Child health outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa: A comparison of changes in climate and socio-economic factors.Global Environmental Change,46. |
MLA | Davenport F.,et al."Child health outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa: A comparison of changes in climate and socio-economic factors".Global Environmental Change 46(2017). |
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