气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.10.008
	Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?
	Treuer G.; Broad K.; Meyer R.
发表日期	2018
ISSN	0959-3780
起始页码	108
结束页码	118
卷号	48
英文摘要	Sea level rise threatens coastal communities around the world. Proactive investments in adaptive flood protection could reduce financial vulnerability, however it is unclear if local governments and homeowners will be willing to make those investments before it is too late. In this research we explore this issue by focusing on the case of South Florida, which is one of the most financially vulnerable regions in the world. We report the results of a novel online simulation that accelerates 348 South Florida homeowners thirty-five years into the future so that they can ‘live’ the effects of sea level rise. The results contain a mix of optimism and caution for the prospects of future adaptation. On the positive side, over 75% of participants indicated a willingness to support bond issues to pay for adaptation, even as the costs of the measures and effects of sea level rise increased over the years. Likewise, we find little evidence that politically conservative residents who normally have more skeptical views about climate change are any less inclined to support adaptation, or only look to information sources that downplay the threat. On the negative side, the number of homeowners interested in moving out of the region increases steadily over time as the sea level rises. This is driven by an increase in worry associated with viewing more information within the simulation. © 2017
英文关键词	Adaptation; Homeowners; Perception; Sea level rise; Simulation; South Florida
学科领域	adaptive management; flood control; homeownership; investment; local government; optimization; participatory approach; perception; resident population; sea level change; simulation; vulnerability; willingness to pay; Florida [United States]; United States
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adaptive management; flood control; homeownership; investment; local government; optimization; participatory approach; perception; resident population; sea level change; simulation; vulnerability; willingness to pay; Florida [United States]; United States
来源期刊	Global Environmental change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117178
作者单位	University of Miami, United States; University of Pennsylvania, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Treuer G.,Broad K.,Meyer R.. Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?[J],2018,48.
APA	Treuer G.,Broad K.,&Meyer R..(2018).Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?.Global Environmental change,48.
MLA	Treuer G.,et al."Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?".Global Environmental change 48(2018).