气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Integration anxiety: The cognitive isolation of climate change

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.02.010
	Integration anxiety: The cognitive isolation of climate change
	Findlater K.M.; Donner S.D.; Satterfield T.; Kandlikar M.
发表日期	2018
ISSN	0959-3780
起始页码	178
结束页码	189
卷号	50
英文摘要	Experts recommend that decision-makers in climate-vulnerable sectors integrate, or ‘mainstream’ climate change adaptation into their decision-making. Farmers are often thought to do so intuitively, because many climate change impacts will manifest in similar ways to the weather and climate variability that farmers have always faced. However, there is little evidence to suggest whether farmers are already doing this, how they should go about it, and how hard it might be. Here we show that commercial grain farmers in South Africa (N = 90), as a uniquely informative group, are struggling to mainstream climate change risk management despite their apparent incentive, capacity and willingness to adapt. They perform large-scale, highly mechanized, input-intensive grain farming like their peers in higher-income countries (e.g., the United States, Canada, Europe and Australia), but without the government subsidies, crop insurance and irrigation more common in other regions. They are therefore motivated to adapt proactively because they are more vulnerable to the financial harms of weather and climate risks. Our data show that they are explicitly sensitive to the risks of climate change, generally expressing concern for its potential impacts, reporting observed changes, proposing possible adaptations, and expressing the desire to adapt proactively. However, their mental models of climate change (n = 30) are linguistically and structurally isolated from their mental models of weather and other ‘normal’ risks. They are therefore implicitly insensitive to climate change, making it unlikely that they will adapt proactively and rationally to this uncertain risk that they otherwise appear well-equipped to manage. © 2018 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Climate change adaptation; Conservation agriculture; Decision making; Mainstreaming; Mental models; Risk perceptions
学科领域	adaptive management; climate change; climate effect; cognition; decision making; farming system; insurance system; nature-society relations; risk assessment; risk perception; subsidy system; subsistence agriculture; Australia; Canada; Europe; South Africa; United States
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adaptive management; climate change; climate effect; cognition; decision making; farming system; insurance system; nature-society relations; risk assessment; risk perception; subsidy system; subsistence agriculture; Australia; Canada; Europe; South Africa; United States
来源期刊	Global Environmental change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117142
作者单位	Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada; African Climate & Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Department of Geography, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada; School of Public Policy and Global Affairs, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Findlater K.M.,Donner S.D.,Satterfield T.,et al. Integration anxiety: The cognitive isolation of climate change[J],2018,50.
APA	Findlater K.M.,Donner S.D.,Satterfield T.,&Kandlikar M..(2018).Integration anxiety: The cognitive isolation of climate change.Global Environmental change,50.
MLA	Findlater K.M.,et al."Integration anxiety: The cognitive isolation of climate change".Global Environmental change 50(2018).