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DOI	10.1007/s00382-012-1473-2
	Projection of snow cover changes over China under RCP scenarios
	Ji, Zhenming; Kang, Shichang
发表日期	2013
ISSN	0930-7575
EISSN	1432-0894
卷号	41 期号:2019-03-04
英文摘要	Snow cover changes in the middle (2040-2059) and end (2080-2099) of the twenty-first century over China were investigated with a regional climate model, nested within the global model BCC_CSM1.1. The simulations had been conducted for the period of 1950-2099 under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Results show that the model perform well in representing contemporary (1986-2005) spatial distributions of snow cover days (SCDs) and snow water equivalent (SWE). However, some differences between observation and simulation were detected. Under the RCP4.5 scenarios, SCDs are shortened by 10-20 and 20-40 days during the middle and end of the twenty-first century, respectively. Whereas simulated SWE is lowered by 0.1-10 mm in most areas over the Tibetan Plateau (TP). On the other hand, the spatial distributions of SWE are reversed between the middle and end terms in the northeast China. Furthermore, compared with the changes of RCP4.5 scenario, SCDs are reduced by 5-20 days in the middle period under RCP8.5 scenario with even larger decreasing amplitude in the end term. SWE was lowered by 0.1-2.5 mm in most areas except the northeast of China in middle term under RCP8.5 scenario. The great center of SCDs and SWE changes are always located over TP. The regional mean of SCDs and SWE for the TP and for China display a declining trend from 2006 to 2099 with more pronounced changes in the TP than in China as a whole. Under the RCP8.5 scenario, the changes are enhanced compared to those under RCP4.5.
关键词	Snow cover Regional climate model Projection China
学科领域	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源期刊	CLIMATE DYNAMICS
来源机构	中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/111681
作者单位	Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Tibetan Environm Changes & Land Surface P, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ji, Zhenming,Kang, Shichang. Projection of snow cover changes over China under RCP scenarios[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2013,41(2019-03-04).
APA	Ji, Zhenming,&Kang, Shichang.(2013).Projection of snow cover changes over China under RCP scenarios.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,41(2019-03-04).
MLA	Ji, Zhenming,et al."Projection of snow cover changes over China under RCP scenarios".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 41.2019-03-04(2013).