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DOI10.1007/s11027-019-09877-2
Errors and uncertainties in a gridded carbon dioxide emissions inventory
Oda, Tomohiro1,2; Bun, Rostyslav3,4; Kinakh, Vitaliy3; Topylko, Petro3; Halushchak, Mariia3,5; Marland, Gregg6; Lauvaux, Thomas7; Jonas, Matthias5; Maksyutov, Shamil8; Nahorski, Zbigniew9,10; Lesiv, Myroslava5; Danylo, Olha3,5; Horabik-Pyzel, Joanna9
发表日期2019
ISSN1381-2386
EISSN1573-1596
卷号24期号:6页码:1007-1050
英文摘要

Emission inventories (EIs) are the fundamental tool to monitor compliance with greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and emission reduction commitments. Inventory accounting guidelines provide the best practices to help EI compilers across different countries and regions make comparable, national emission estimates regardless of differences in data availability. However, there are a variety of sources of error and uncertainty that originate beyond what the inventory guidelines can define. Spatially explicit EIs, which are a key product for atmospheric modeling applications, are often developed for research purposes and there are no specific guidelines to achieve spatial emission estimates. The errors and uncertainties associated with the spatial estimates are unique to the approaches employed and are often difficult to assess. This study compares the global, high-resolution (1 km), fossil fuel, carbon dioxide (CO2), gridded EI Open-source Data Inventory for Anthropogenic CO2 (ODIAC) with the multi-resolution, spatially explicit bottom-up EI geoinformation technologies, spatio-temporal approaches, and full carbon account for improving the accuracy of GHG inventories (GESAPU) over the domain of Poland. By taking full advantage of the data granularity that bottom-up EI offers, this study characterized the potential biases in spatial disaggregation by emission sector (point and non-point emissions) across different scales (national, subnational/regional, and urban policy-relevant scales) and identified the root causes. While two EIs are in agreement in total and sectoral emissions (2.2% for the total emissions), the emission spatial patterns showed large differences (10100% relative differences at 1 km) especially at the urban-rural transitioning areas (90-100%). We however found that the agreement of emissions over urban areas is surprisingly good compared with the estimates previously reported for US cities. This paper also discusses the use of spatially explicit EIs for climate mitigation applications beyond the common use in atmospheric modeling. We conclude with a discussion of current and future challenges of EIs in support of successful implementation of GHG emission monitoring and mitigation activity under the Paris Climate Agreement from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21). We highlight the importance of capacity building for EI development and coordinated research efforts of EI, atmospheric observations, and modeling to overcome the challenges.


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源期刊MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/101012
作者单位1.NASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD USA;
2.Univ Space Res Assoc, Goddard Earth Sci Technol & Res, Columbia, MD USA;
3.Lviv Polytech Natl Univ, Lvov, Ukraine;
4.WSB Univ, Dabrowa Gornicza, Poland;
5.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria;
6.Appalachian State Univ, Dept Geol & Environm Sci, Boone, NC 28608 USA;
7.Lab Sci Climat & Environm, Gif Sur Yvette, France;
8.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Ctr Global Environm Res, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan;
9.Polish Acad Sci, Syst Res Inst, Warsaw, Poland;
10.Warsaw Sch Informat Technol, Warsaw, Poland
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Oda, Tomohiro,Bun, Rostyslav,Kinakh, Vitaliy,et al. Errors and uncertainties in a gridded carbon dioxide emissions inventory[J],2019,24(6):1007-1050.
APA Oda, Tomohiro.,Bun, Rostyslav.,Kinakh, Vitaliy.,Topylko, Petro.,Halushchak, Mariia.,...&Horabik-Pyzel, Joanna.(2019).Errors and uncertainties in a gridded carbon dioxide emissions inventory.MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,24(6),1007-1050.
MLA Oda, Tomohiro,et al."Errors and uncertainties in a gridded carbon dioxide emissions inventory".MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE 24.6(2019):1007-1050.
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