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A reassessment of the UK operational surge forecasting procedure | |
出版日期 | 2018 |
出版者 | National Oceanography Centre |
英文摘要 | This report is a summary of the Met Office surge forecasting procedure for the UK, and some investigations into possible sources of error. The forecast is based on the "non-tidal residual", the difference of two model runs with and without weather effects, linearly added to the "astronomical prediction" from local tide gauge harmonics. This method is exposed to several errors. Here we do not attempt to quantify errors in the model or weather forcing, but we show how errors can arise in the harmonic analysis and due to the double counting of weather-related tides. The executive summary, validation guidelines and recommendations have been prepared jointly with the Met Office. |
URL | http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/519017/1/NOC_R%26C_62.pdf |
国家 | 英国 |
语种 | 英语 |
来源机构 | 英国自然环境研究理事会 |
文献类型 | 科技报告 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/86378 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . A reassessment of the UK operational surge forecasting procedure:National Oceanography Centre,2018. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
519017.pdf(3149KB) | 科技报告 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 下载 |
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